New Launch Review · District 11 · 2026
The first private residential launch in Bukit Timah Turf City. Land cost $1,410 psf/ppr. Adjacent site already at $1,625. School belt, right-sizer play, and a 99-year lease in Singapore's most freehold neighbourhood. Here is every layer — including the one the showflat won't cover.
Score: (4.5×0.15 + 4.2×0.35 + 3.8×0.20 + 3.6×0.30) × 20 = 79.1. Solid — buy selectively, with stack and unit type discipline. For retirement and legacy planning readers: gross yield matters less than net proceeds math, monthly outgoing reduction relative to a landed property, and the governance quality of the first MCST in a new precinct.
Dunearn House falls under URA's post-2023 GFA harmonisation rules. All comparable leasehold condos used in this analysis (The Reserve Residences, 8@BT) are also harmonised. A status table applies — no full strata vs liveable psf floor plan comparison is presented here. Full harmonisation analysis is in Part 2: The Floor Plan Trap. The practical implication: the ~$3,000 psf you see in marketing materials is a harmonised strata psf. The liveable psf — the space you actually inhabit — will be higher once AC ledges, planter boxes, and void areas are excluded. Model accordingly.
What the Market Is Telling You
The Dunearn House land bid closed in June 2025 at $491.5 million — $1,410 psf/ppr — with nine developers bidding. That level of competition in a corridor that has not seen a new GLS residential site in over a generation signals one thing clearly: developer conviction in Bukit Timah Turf City is real, not speculative. Within ten months of the first award, the adjacent second Dunearn site went to Wing Tai and Metro Holdings for $1,625 psf/ppr — a 15.2% step-up that nobody was forced to make. They chose to pay it. The full GLS pipeline context for this corridor is tracked at the GLS Tracker.
The leasehold comparable set within District 10/11 tells its own story. Resale prices for non-landed homes in D10 rose 21.7% between 2021 and 2026 (URA/ERA Research, 2026). The CCR led all regions in price growth in the first nine months of 2025, gaining 5.6% (URA, Q3 2025). Recent CCR new launches — Skye at Holland ($2,944 psf), River Modern ($3,266 psf) — sold over 88–99% on launch day, reinforcing that the pricing band Dunearn House is entering has active, willing buyers. CCR gross rental yields sit at approximately 3.0–3.5% in 2026 (PropertyNet.sg, 2026) — below suburban yields but consistent with what this asset class has always delivered.
Leasehold comparable performance — D10/D11
| Project | District | Tenure | TOP | Launch PSF | Current Avg PSF | Appreciation | Est. Gross Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Reserve Residences | D21 | 99LH | 2027 | $2,460 | $2,584 | ~5% | ~3.0–3.3% |
| 8@BT | D21 | 99LH | 2027 | $2,719 | $2,778 | ~2% | ~3.0–3.3% |
| Leedon Green | D10 | 99LH | 2023 | ~$2,750 | $2,910 | ~5.8% | ~2.7% |
| Dunearn House | D11 | 99LH | Dec 2030 | ~$3,000 | – | New launch | ~3.0–3.5% (est.) |
Sources: URA REALIS; ERA Research and Market Intelligence (Apr 2026); 99.co; EdgeProp. PSF figures are approximate resale/subsale averages. Dunearn House yield is estimated based on D10/D11 market benchmarks. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The land cost ladder makes the price support case concrete. Dunearn House at $1,410 psf/ppr sits below every comparable CCR benchmark in 2026: Chuan Grove ($1,376 psf/ppr), Thomson View ($1,178 psf/ppr), and the Newton GLS ($1,820 psf/ppr). The adjacent Wing Tai/Metro site at $1,625 psf/ppr — already awarded, launching 2H 2027 at an estimated $3,300 psf — is the clearest price floor signal available for any new launch in Singapore today.
What the Market Isn't Telling You
Every brochure, every agent presentation, every developer deck on Dunearn House leads with the same three points: first mover, CCR address, Turf City transformation. None of them mention what you are actually buying into as a strata owner in a brand-new precinct with no completed MCST history.
Dunearn House will be the first MCST established in the Bukit Timah Turf City estate. That matters more than most buyers recognise. The first Annual General Meeting of a new development sets the contribution rate for the sinking fund, establishes the maintenance fee schedule, selects the managing agent, and approves the first set of bylaws governing everything from short-term rentals to pet policies. In a mature development, you can inspect years of AGM minutes, sinking fund audited accounts, and contractor procurement records before you commit. At Dunearn House, none of that history exists yet. You are buying into an unknown governance track record — even if the developer is reputable.
This is not a red flag. It is a due diligence gap that every buyer should close before signing. Frasers Property, Sekisui House, and CSC Land have a combined track record across multiple completed developments. What to look for: how well their other completed projects have managed the post-TOP handover period, what their typical sinking fund contribution rates look like at year one versus year five, and whether the appointed managing agent has a track record of governance discipline in similarly sized CCR developments. The full management track record analysis is in Part 7: The Management Reality — the layer every agent skips.
The second thing the market isn't telling you is about the 99-year leasehold tenure in this specific context. Bukit Timah is one of Singapore's most freehold-dominant residential corridors. The surrounding landed estates — Namly, Duchess, Watten, Greenwood — are predominantly freehold or 999-year tenures. When you eventually need to sell Dunearn House, your buyer will be comparing your remaining leasehold (approximately 70 years in 2055, if you bought at launch and hold for 25 years) against newer leasehold launches in the Turf City precinct and the freehold resale stock in the surrounding streets. That comparison is not brutal — but it is real, and it requires a holding period discipline that most buyers underestimate at purchase.
Third: the integrated mandatory supermarket obligation. The developer is required to maintain a supermarket of at least 10,764 sq ft within the development for a minimum of 10 years from TOP. This is genuinely useful for residents — but it also means ground-floor commercial tenancy obligations that the MCST and management council will need to manage alongside residential governance from day one. In a mature development, commercial-residential MCST dynamics are well-understood. In the first development in a new precinct, they are not. Buyers in stacks adjacent to the commercial podium should model noise and access implications before selecting units.
- First private residential project in Turf City — genuine first-mover pricing before the precinct reprices
- Adjacent second site at $1,625 psf/ppr provides a hard price floor and future comparable benchmark
- One of the densest school belts in Singapore — MGS Primary, Raffles Girls' Primary, Nanyang Girls' High within reach
- Right-sizer play: landed sellers in Namly/Duchess/Watten can monetise equity, reduce outgoings, and hold a CCR asset
- Strong developer JV: Frasers, Sekisui House, CSC Land — execution risk is low
- Mandatory supermarket and childcare centre add immediate amenity value without buyer cost
- CRL Turf City station (~2032) adds a second rail spine and east–west connectivity not currently available
- 99-year leasehold in a predominantly freehold/999-year neighbourhood — tenure discount affects long-term exit
- No MCST track record — first AGM will set governance norms for an untested precinct council
- Turf City transformation is a 20–30 year master plan — CRL station a decade away; full precinct build-out is generational
- ~$3,000 psf for 99LH is premium pricing relative to comparable leasehold launches in D21/OCR
- GFA harmonisation gap must be modelled — liveable psf will be lower than advertised strata psf
- Commercial-residential MCST dynamics from mandatory supermarket obligation add governance complexity
- Stack selection is critical — some blocks face road noise from Dunearn Road; not all units carry equal view premium
The named trigger is the adjacent Wing Tai/Metro site. It awarded at $1,625 psf/ppr — 15.2% above Dunearn House's land cost of $1,410 psf/ppr. That second site will launch in 2H 2027 at an estimated $3,200–$3,300 psf. When that launch happens, Dunearn House buyers who entered at ~$3,000 psf in 2026 will be sitting on a corridor that has repriced above their entry point, with a directly comparable development setting the new benchmark.
The cost of waiting is not abstract. A buyer who waits for the second site launches into a development priced $200–$300 psf higher, with a land cost that is 15% above the first site, and with the first-mover position in the precinct already taken. For a 3-bedroom unit at ~1,000 sq ft, that $200–$300 psf difference translates to $200,000–$300,000 in entry cost — not a rounding error.
For right-sizers from the landed belt: the window where Dunearn House psf is below the second site's implied future benchmark is the 2026 launch. That window closes when the second project launches. Speak to a licensed financial adviser for advice specific to your situation regarding CPF, mortgage structuring, and overall financial planning before committing.
Frequently Asked Questions
- URA — Tender Award, Dunearn Road GLS Site, 3 July 2025
- URA — Tender Award, Second Dunearn Road GLS Site, 4 May 2026
- ERA Singapore Research — Dunearn Road (2H 2025 GLS) Site Analysis, April 2026
- ERA Singapore — Commentary on Dunearn Road GLS Tender Closing, April 2026
- EdgeProp — URA Awards Dunearn Road GLS Site to Wing Tai-Metro JV, May 2026
- 99.co — Second Dunearn Road GLS Tender, Top Bid $533M, May 2026
- StackedHomes — Top Bid of $533M for Second Bukit Timah Residential Site, April 2026
- The Edge Singapore — Dunearn Road GLS Site Draws Six Bids, May 2026
- cos.sg — Dunearn House GLS Analysis: Expected Launch Price, Land Cost & First-Mover Advantage, May 2026
- URA — Private Residential Property Price Index, Q3 2025 and Q1 2026
- URA/ERA Research — Resale Price Growth D10 Non-Landed, 2021–2026
- PropertyNet.sg — District 9, 10 & 11 Prime Condo Guide 2026, CCR Gross Rental Yield Benchmarks
- PropNex Sales Deck — Rising Land Cost Effect 2025–2027 Pipeline
- newlaunchesreview.com — Dunearn House Review, Unit Mix Analysis, June 2026
- UOB Global Economics & Markets Research — Singapore Economic Outlook and Property Demand Drivers, January 2026
This article is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. Property investments involve risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Readers should seek independent advice from licensed professionals before making any property or financial decision. James Ong is a licensed real estate salesperson (CEA Reg No. R008385F) with PropNex Realty Pte Ltd and is not a licensed financial adviser.
